Analysis of carbon black industry in 2022

December 07, 2021

Recently, the price of coal tar has a downward trend, and the epidemic has a great impact on crude oil. How to develop the Carbon Black market in the later stage?

Upstream: in November, the overall price of coal tar exceeded 5000 yuan / ton in some areas at the beginning of the month, and remained high in the later period, resulting in increased losses of downstream deep-processing enterprises under the influence of cost pressure. However, under the pressure of national energy regulation and deep-processing enterprises, coal tar declined, but the range was small. By the end of the month, Shandong, Shanxi The price of coal tar in the three main carbon black producing areas of Hebei began to decline significantly and flow auction. The downstream conflict is large, and the upward movement of coal tar is blocked, but the supply problems caused by environmental protection and the Winter Olympic Games cannot be ruled out.

In terms of supply: at the beginning of the month, the price of carbon black exceeded 9000 yuan / ton, and has been at a high level in the later period. Shanxi has a great impact on peak production due to the heating season, but on the whole, the carbon black supply has not changed significantly, and the carbon black in Shanxi is expected to increase next month.

Downstream: under the influence of high cost, the price rise of tires has not been reduced. The operating rate of the tires has improved this month, but the overall demand is mainly rigid demand. The COVID-19 variant this month has a greater impact on the global market. If the epidemic continues to develop, it will inevitably affect the production of tire exports, and the situation of color paste and masterbatch is equally difficult.

To sum up, the supply of coal tar is alleviated, but it is likely to be high. The price of carbon black is expected to be reduced in December, but the specific market of carbon black depends on the change of coal tar supply and market influencing factors.

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